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2024-12-13 11:48:12

Chief economist of CITIC Jiantou: More active finance and moderately loose currency are beneficial to both stocks and debts. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, interpreted the Central Economic Work Conference and said that the meeting stressed that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, raise the fiscal and monetary adjustment to the strongest level for many years, and give priority to expanding domestic demand. The construction of modern industrial system focuses on new quality productivity, and the economic system reform has landmark measures to expand autonomy and unilateral opening up in an orderly manner to stabilize the property market and stock market. Stable employment and stable prices will bring about both nominal and real growth, more active finance and moderately loose currency, which will be beneficial to both stocks and debts, the stock index, valuation and liquidity will stabilize and rebound, and the bond market interest rate will have more downside. Looking forward to 2025, the 5% real and nominal GDP growth rate is the direction of efforts. The growth is more brought about by the domestic demand boost and two innovations, new quality productivity and new supply, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization, rural revitalization and new urbanization, Belt and Road Initiative and opening up, and the high-quality ending of the "14 th Five-Year Plan" started the "15 th Five-Year Plan".Rambler: We have always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products. rambler said at the shareholders' reception day on December 12 that the company has always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products, and the future co-branded products will be deeper and closer.Food stocks fell at the beginning of the day, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and food stocks fell at the beginning, and Jialong shares, Anji Food, Huang Shanghuang, three squirrels, and Barbie Foods followed suit.


Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.Shenzhen started the construction of the first batch of "AI+" medical equipment professional parks. At the 2024 Shenzhen International High Performance Medical Equipment Exhibition and Innovative Medicine Exhibition held on December 12, a number of breakthrough cutting-edge technological achievements and innovative products were unveiled, and more than 200 famous medical equipment enterprises, scientific research institutions and medical institutions from home and abroad gathered to discuss cutting-edge technologies, explore innovative paths of medical equipment and help the high-quality development of the industry. In order to further seize the opportunity of artificial intelligence medical development, accelerate the digital transformation of Shenzhen's biomedical industry, gather a number of characteristic "AI+" medical equipment enterprises, and incubate a number of innovative medical equipment projects, Shenzhen started to build "AI+" medical equipment professional parks in key areas of industrial development. At this exhibition, the construction of the first batch of Shenzhen "AI+" pharmaceutical machinery professional parks, such as Baolong Biomedical Innovation and Development Pilot Zone, Nanshan Zhicheng, Hetao AI+ Biological Professional Park and Yinxing Science and Technology Park, was officially launched. Next, Shenzhen will vigorously improve the development and incubation of new quality productivity in the field of medical equipment, work together to shape the deep integration ecological pattern of "artificial intelligence+medical equipment", and accelerate the development and growth of "AI+" medical equipment industry.


Rambler: We have always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products. rambler said at the shareholders' reception day on December 12 that the company has always taken a proactive attitude towards all kinds of co-branded products, and the future co-branded products will be deeper and closer.Lianxiang Co., Ltd. and others set up a new digital technology company. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Zhejiang Lianxi Digital Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with Li Xiaoliang as the legal representative and a registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: the first type of value-added telecommunications services; The second kind of value-added telecommunications services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Lianxiang and others.Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings: The foundation for stabilizing the stock market is more solid. Wu Chaoming, chief economist of Caixin Financial Holdings, said that the Central Economic Work Conference will stabilize the stock market in the overall target paragraph, highlighting the central government's attention and care for the capital market. Since this round of incremental policies, the stock market has become a weather vane to test the effect of policies to some extent, and it is an important starting point for stabilizing expectations and stimulating vitality. Judging from the signals revealed at this meeting, the foundation for stock market stabilization in the future will be more solid.

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